Fear Dec 21, 2012?

CRIS BOURONCLE AFP/GETTY IMAGES Tourists walk around the Kukulcan temple, also known as El Castillo (The Castle), a step pyramid … Continued

CRIS BOURONCLE

AFP/GETTY IMAGES

Tourists walk around the Kukulcan temple, also known as El Castillo (The Castle), a step pyramid dominating Chichen Itza archaeological site – a complex built by the Mayan civilization in the Yucatan Peninsula, in the Mexican state of Yucatan, on December 2, 2010.

Today is December 21, 2011. A host of Web sites, books, and breathless cable documentaries are speculating that the world will come to an end a year from now, on December 21, 2012. Should you be concerned?

Short answer: No. Keep calm and carry on.

Long answer: Only if you were concerned when Harold Camping predicted the Rapture a few months ago, in May. Or if you worried when Nancy Lieder predicted the rogue (and non-existent) planet Nibiru would collide with us on May 27, 2003. Or if you stocked up on bottled water and weaponry when half of humanity thought doomsday would arrive on January 1, 2000. Or if you panicked when mathematician Jakob Bernoulli concluded the Earth would be destroyed by a comet on May 19, 1719, in which case you’re very old.

Which is to say: We’ve been here before. We humans, regardless of our religious persuasion, are obsessed with figuring out when we’re going to die. From famed pastors and authors to obscure conspiracy theorists who are a few nuts short of a fruitcake, one of us is always predicting the end of the world.

These doomsayers have been wrong every time. Every. Single. Time.

Over the next twelve months, you’ll be bombarded with media touting a planet-altering event scheduled for the Winter Solstice in 2012. A handful of the predictions are positive, speculating we’re in for some sort of gauzy cosmic enlightenment. But most predictions are less cheery. Depending on the source, we should expect an asteroid collision, a comet collision, a planetary collision, a nuclear Armageddon, a biblical Armageddon (the final battle between good and evil), an alien invasion, an exploding supervolcano, an apocalyptic galactic alignment, an outburst of deadly solar flares, a sudden geomagnetic reversal, and/or a deadly supernova on December 21, 2012.

Why that date? Why should we expect the extinction of humanity next December? It’s pretty complicated for a blog post, but I’ll give it a shot. First, it requires putting a lot of stock in the mythology, cosmology, and astronomical prowess of the ancient Mayans, especially their calendric system. They used several calendars, but their biggest and most important one is known as the Mesoamerican Long Count Calendar.

According to Mayan mythology, this calendar began at the creation of the world. Or, at least, upon the creation of this world. (They believed our world was the creators’ fourth and only successful creation attempt, the first three having failed and been destroyed.)

Just like our calendars keep track of days, weeks, months and years, the Long Count tracks several different intervals of time. The largest is a b’ak’tun, which equates to around 144,000 days. Most Mayanist experts–but by no means all–date the beginning of the Long Count back to August 11, 3114 BC, which means the calendar will complete the 13th B’ak’tun on December 21, 2012. Why is this milestone significant? Because that’s how long the previous, unsuccessful world was thought to have lasted.

Maybe you’ve heard that the Mayan calendar is coming to an end. That’s no more accurate than saying your car will come to an end when it passes 99,999.9 on the odometer. Just like our calendars, when the Long Count completes an interval it rolls over and starts counting again. The “end” doesn’t matter. What matters is that the previous world was believed to have lasted only so long…and our current world reaches that lifespan in 2012.

So if you–like the ancient Mayans–believe we’re living in the fourth incarnation of creation, and that the third world was destroyed upon completing the 13th B’ak’tun, and that this world will only last as long as its predecessor…then by all means you should be concerned about the world coming to an end in 2012. Please, people, make this year count. Live like you’re dyin’, etc.

But if you don’t buy into that stuff, don’t concern yourself with the world ending a year from today. It’s a meaningless date. We’re probably going to make it to 2013.

Make the next year count, anyway. It’s just good practice.

Jason Boyett is a writer, speaker, and author of several books. His latest is Pocket Guide to 2012: Your Once-in-a-Lifetime Guide to Not Completely Freaking Out, available on Kindle and Nook.

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  • WmarkW

    The calendar in my cell phone ends on Dec 31, 2059.
    That’s the Motorola Apocalypse.

  • tomastanley

    Maya 2012, is it an ancient prophecy…or a modern myth? That’s the question Penn Museum in Philadelphia is posing with MAYA 2012: Lords of Time, an all-new interactive exhibition opening May 5. There will be never-before-seen artifacts recently excavated from the Classic Maya site of Copan, Honduras, full-sized replicas of imposing monuments, and even the perspective of contemporary Maya people, shared through first hand interviews. It’s a timed ticketed event—but only before time runs out!

  • ccnl1

    One more time:

    What we do know: (from the fields of astrophysics, nuclear physics, geology and the history of religion)

    1. The Sun will burn out in 3-5 billion years so we have a time frame.

    2. Asteroids continue to circle us in the nearby asteroid belt.

    3. One wayward rock and it is all over in a blast of permanent winter.

    4. There are enough nuclear weapons to do the same job.

    5. Most contemporary NT exegetes do not believe in the Second Coming so apparently there is no concern about JC coming back on an asteroid or cloud of raptors/rapture.

    6. All stars will eventually extinguish as there is a limit to the amount of hydrogen in the universe. When this happens (100 trillion years?), the universe will go dark. If it does not collapse and recycle, the universe will end.

    7. Super, dormant volcanoes off the coast of Africa and under Yellowstone Park could explode catalytically at any time ending life on Earth.

    Bottom line: our apocalypse will start between now and 3-5 billion CE. The universe apocalypse, 100 trillion years?

  • SODDI

    “The proud Mayan blood will turn tainted with whiteness,
    the children of once-great warriors will be slaves and who*es
    and handymen and servants of the conquerors,
    betray their fallen fathers and grandfathers,
    become vultures preying on their own kind.”

    from “The Destruction of the Jaguar”, prophecies from the Mayan Chilaam Balam

    I see Mayans every day. You call them “Mexicans” and hate them.

    The above seems like a pretty accurate prophecy to me – for the Maya.

  • ombowstring

    The world will not end on Dec 21, 2012. The approximate last 7 years of the end of the world as we know it commence when Israel signs a peace covenant with the beast, 666, and 666 is not even on the global stage yet.

  • SODDI

    You didn’t see that bit about Harold Camping, did you?

  • nkri401

    Now this. I’m getting a bit cranky after reading penny-pinching Atheist story.

    Not for the Atheists, they are who they are but I’m cranky as to is this the level of journalism that passes for a major paper?

    Why is it odd that Atheist may not be making donations to the church?

    And now this – do you need to fear dead Mayan Calendar??

    Good Lord!!

    If you must know, you know what I’m afraid of? My daily commute. Yes, the reason I may not enjoy 12/21/2012 would be because of my daily commute mishap. There are things to worry; but do we really need to be told “Short answer: No. Keep calm and carry on.“

    Not enough of Camping, I guess.

    Rant off.

  • bromisky

    Hey, the calender ends on Dec 31 every year, and it begins again on Jan 1, never fails…

  • independent31

    Watch the History channel…they have been hitting this hard and yes the Anti- Christ is among us…

  • independent31

    And I have a full book of checks in my checkbook…I’m rich!!

  • rotorhead1871

    all the dolts who would believe this crock…..PLEASE>…..gift all your possessions to me. after all…you wont need them…right???

  • rotorhead1871

    yea…exactly …then chicken little decrees the sky is falling and all the 1st graders in Boston scream “look up” at the same time….and the pope throws holy water in their eyes and yells “GERONIMO”……FOR SURE……

  • rotorhead1871

    I like tacos.. and tequila…..

  • rotorhead1871

    cool….now its martini time….

  • fdb73

    “These doomsayers have been wrong every time. Every. Single. Time.”

    They only need to be right once…

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